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新疆工商注冊教您新疆财務代理穩增長(cháng)政策?

日期:2016/07/15   浏覽次數:0次  關閉  來源:www.xjchcw.com
新疆工商注冊教您新疆财務代理穩增長(cháng)政策?
Xinjiang industry and Commerce registered to teach you Xinjiang financial steady growth policy?
穩增長(cháng)政策不停歇 貨币偏寬松趨勢未變
Policy of steady growth Monetary easing trend has not changed
上周上證綜指下跌13.32%,創下2008年6月以來的最大單周跌幅,市場走勢牽動人心。此間觀察家認爲,穩增長(cháng)、促改革的政策紅利仍將(jiāng)持續釋放,資本市場走牛的邏輯也未發(fā)生改變,市場本身的調整更有利于夯實慢牛走勢,市場無須過(guò)度恐慌。
Last week the benchmark Shanghai composite index fell 13.32%, its biggest weekly drop since June 2008, market affects the heart. The observers think here, steady growth, promote reform of policy dividends will continue to release, the logic of capital market bullish, also did not change, the adjustment of the market itself is more advantageous to strengthen the slow movements of cattle, the market does not need to panic. 
不少市場人士認爲,盡管當前宏觀經(jīng)濟下行壓力依然較大,但在黨中央、國(guó)務院出台的一系列穩增長(cháng)、調結構、促改革的政策引導下,未來财政政策將(jiāng)更爲積極、松緊适度的貨币政策也會持續發(fā)力,且穩增長(cháng)後(hòu)續政策儲備工具充足,經(jīng)濟增速有望在三季度末觸底回升。
Many market participants believe that despite the current macro-economic downward pressure is still large, but in the party central committee and the state council issued a series of steady growth, structural adjustment, promote reform of policy guidance, future fiscal policy will be more positive, elastic moderate monetary policy will continue, and steady growth of the follow-up policy reserves sufficient tools, economic growth is expected to be bottoming out at the end of the third quarter.
就貨币政策而言,當前偏寬松的趨勢未變。央行[微博]研究局首席經(jīng)濟學(xué)家馬駿近日下調全年GDP和CPI漲幅預期值,顯示盡管當前經(jīng)濟出現向(xiàng)好(hǎo)趨勢,但穩增長(cháng)仍需政策呵護。同時,美聯儲逐步推動貨币政策常态化,未來資本流動波動可能(néng)加大,國(guó)内利率和彙率政策推出的時點和力度需仔細考量這(zhè)一因素。在偏寬松不變的大背景下,一方面(miàn),從常規工具觀察,利率和存款準備金率仍有運用空間;另一方面(miàn),政策可能(néng)由前期的著(zhe)重總量調整轉爲更注重結構優化,定向(xiàng)政策等結構性政策仍將(jiāng)保持一定力度。
In terms of monetary policy, the current trend of partial loose. Central bank [microblogging] research chief economist jun ma has its full-year GDP and CPI inflation expectations, shows that despite the current economic showing positive trend, but steady growth still needs policy attention. At the same time, gradually push the fed monetary policy normalization, future capital flow volatility may increase, the domestic interest rate and exchange rate policy of the launch time and efforts have to be carefully consider this factor. In partial loose unchanged under the big background, on the one hand, from the conventional tools, interest rates and deposit reserve rate is still using the space; On the other hand, the policy may be changed from early total emphatically to pay more attention to structural optimization, directional policy structural policies will still maintain a certain strength.
從财政政策角度看,近日國(guó)務院強調推進(jìn)财政資金統籌使用,避免資金使用“碎片化”,盤活各領域“沉睡”的财政資金,增加資金有效供給。這(zhè)顯示在政策推動下,未來财政政策將(jiāng)更積極,财政資金投放將(jiāng)對(duì)市場流動性産生積極作用
From the perspective of the fiscal policy of the state council recently emphasis on promoting the comprehensive use of financial capital, avoid using "fragmentation" funds, revitalize the "sleeping" in various fields of financial fund, increase the effective supply of funds. This shows that under the policy to promote the future fiscal policy will be more active, fiscal money will have a positive role of market liquidity
整體上,财政政策和貨币政策節奏可能(néng)發(fā)生變化,但二者并非簡單的此消彼長(cháng),财政政策的推行需要貨币政策的密切配合。在推行積極财政政策的過(guò)程中,隻有貨币政策配合,才能(néng)一方面(miàn)爲财政擴張提供資金輔助,另一方面(miàn)化解債務風險,維護金融穩定,保證充足的資金供給和推動利率下行更是缺一不可。
Overall, the pace of fiscal policy and monetary policy may change, but both are not simple, the implementation of fiscal policy needs the close cooperation of monetary policy. Only in the process of implementation of active fiscal policy, monetary policy coordination, to auxiliary to fund fiscal expansion on the one hand, on the other hand to resolve debt risks, maintaining financial stability, get plenty of money supply and interest rates downward is be short of one cannot.
此外,今年以來,政府推出一系列基建項目“穩增長(cháng)”。在基建投資加大力度的前提下,將(jiāng)加快經(jīng)濟結構調整,推動各項制度改革落地。經(jīng)濟結構調整指向(xiàng)淘汰落後(hòu)産能(néng)、加快新興産業和新型農業發(fā)展,將(jiāng)爲相關産業發(fā)展打開(kāi)空間。深化國(guó)企改革等政策將(jiāng)調整利益分配格局,松綁長(cháng)期經(jīng)濟增長(cháng)面(miàn)臨的制度約束,有望釋放長(cháng)期經(jīng)濟增長(cháng)動能(néng)。
In addition, since this year, the government launched a series of infrastructure projects "steady growth". On the premise of infrastructure investment increasing, will speed up economic structural adjustment, promote the reform of the system of the ground. Economy structure adjustment to eliminate backward production capacity, accelerate the development of new industries and new agriculture, will open up space for related industry development. Policies, such as deepening the reform of state-owned enterprises will adjust the interest distribution pattern, loosen the institutional constraints facing the long-term economic growth, is expected to release the long-term economic growth momentum.
從資本市場角度來看,市場走牛的邏輯未發(fā)生改變。此前,證監會[微博]主席肖鋼明确表示贊同A股上漲是“改革牛”的觀點,A股上漲是各項利好(hǎo)政策疊加的結果,有其必然性和合理性。具體來看,一方面(miàn),中央全面(miàn)深化改革的各項舉措穩定了市場預期,是股市上漲最強大動力;另一方面(miàn),杠杆因素的确發(fā)揮了重要作用。證券公司銀證轉賬資金、滬港通淨流入資金以及保險信托新增資金均有較多增加,特别是融資業務爲股市上漲提供了資金支持。
From the Angle of capital market, the market bullish, logic does not change. Previously, the securities and futures commission [microblogging] chairman xiao explicitly agreed A shares rose is "reform" point of view, a-share market rise is the result of superposition of good policies, has its inevitability and rationality. Specific view, on the one hand, the measures and deepen the reform of the stability of the market expected, are the most powerful motivation rising stock market; On the other hand, leverage factors indeed played an important role. Bank-securities transfer securities company capital inflows, Shanghai port and the trust of new insurance funds have more increase, especially financing provided financial support for the rising stock market.
目前,深化改革的步伐仍在加快:中央深改組會議近日通過(guò)國(guó)企改革的兩(liǎng)份先導性文件,國(guó)企改革頂層設計方案落地在即;自貿區、京津冀、“一帶一路”等領域的改革在上半年取得實質性進(jìn)展,未來將(jiāng)進(jìn)一步推進(jìn)。“改革牛”依然底氣十足。
At present, deepening the pace of reform is still in accelerating: central deep reorganization meeting recently two pilot file through the reform of state-owned enterprises, state-owned enterprises reform the top-level design of landing; Free trade zone, beijing-tianjin-hebei, "One Belt And One Road" in areas such as substantive progress was made in reforms in the first half of the year, the future will further advance. "Reform" is still very confident.
從杠杆因素來看,有觀點認爲,近期監管部門嚴查配資和兩(liǎng)融是引發(fā)市場調整的重要原因。對(duì)此應看到,嚴查配資業務有利于維護市場三公原則,保證市場健康發(fā)展。從證監會規範兩(liǎng)融業務來看,近期發(fā)布的《證券公司融資融券管理辦法(征求意見稿)》松緊并舉,旨在建立逆周期的市場調節機制。這(zhè)爲融資業務留下萬億元的增長(cháng)空間,并將(jiāng)引導外圍杠杆資金回歸兩(liǎng)融,允許兩(liǎng)融展期將(jiāng)支持長(cháng)牛發(fā)展。這(zhè)些因素的疊加會使杠杆牛市走得更穩、更長(cháng)。
From the point of leverage factors, it is thought that the recent regulatory scrutiny with capital and two is the important reason for the market to adjust. This should see three-fair principles conducive to maintaining market scrutiny with information and business, guarantee the healthy development of the market. From the standard two integrating business, recent margin of the securities company management regulations (draft) "elastic, aims to establish counter-cyclical market regulation mechanism. This leave one trillion yuan for finance business growth space, and will guide the peripheral leverage fund return two melting, enables the two extension will support the development of the bull. The superposition of these factors can make more leverage bull market stability, longer.
從資本市場改革來看,從證券法修訂、IPO注冊制到深港通,各項計劃中的改革都(dōu)在穩步推進(jìn),將(jiāng)爲資本市場的市場化、法制化、國(guó)際化奠定基礎。據海通證券(23.33, 0.08, 0.34%)測算,目前A股市值/GDP爲99%,而二戰後(hòu)美國(guó)、日本、中國(guó)台灣、中國(guó)香港等牛市指數漲幅核心區域爲10-20倍,牛市高點股票市值/GDP的核心區間爲150%-200%。與之相比,A股仍有空間。從上述邏輯來看,在多重因素作用下,市場适度回調并未改變“改革牛”的邏輯,更有利于股市走出慢牛、長(cháng)牛行情。
From the point of the capital market reform, from the revised securities law, IPO registration system to deep port, are steadily push forward reform of plans, will be the marketization of capital market, legal system, internationalization. According to haitong securities (23.33, 0.08, 0.34%), the current A stock market value/GDP is 99%, and after the second world war the United States, Japan, China Taiwan, Hong Kong, China and other bull market index or core region for 10 to 20 times, the bull market high stock market capitalization/core range of 150% to 150% of GDP. There are still space, by contrast, A shares. From the above logic, under the effect of multiple factors, the market moderately callback did not change the logic of "reform", is more advantageous to get out of the long slow cattle, cattle stock market.
   以上的知識就介紹到這(zhè)裡(lǐ)了,那麼(me)大家如果掌握了以上對(duì)于烏魯木齊代理記賬的知識,那麼(me)就會更加的了解它了,同時在使用的時候也會簡單些了。如果大家有什麼(me)不懂的地方,歡迎來新疆财務代理記賬公司
More knowledge on the introduction here, so if we have the knowledge of the above for the Urumqi agent accounting, then it will be more understanding of it, and in the use of the time will be simple. If you have any do not understand the place, welcome to the Xinjiang financial agent accounting company!

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